Will Bolsonaro leave Brazil in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Jair Bolsonaro has left Brazil for any length of time between July 22 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In cases where Jair Bolsonaro may have exited Brazilian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Jair Bolsonaro exits Brazilian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes". If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Jair Bolsonaro left Brazil, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.