Market Context by Polymarket
The Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Yes currently leads at 100%, ahead of No at 0%. The market resolves on 8 January 2022.
Cumulative volume on this market is $297K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This is a market on whether there will be a single day after the creation of this market, July 9, 2021, and prior to the resolution date, January 1, 2022, with more than 100,000 recorded COVID-19 cases in the United States. This market will resolve to “Yes" if on any single day prior to the resolution date there are more than 100,000 COVID-19 cases recorded. This market will resolve to “No" if there is no single day the United States records more than 100,000 daily COVID-19 cases according to the resolution source. The resolution source for this market will be https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailytrendscases, the CDC's official count of Coronavirus cases. The resolution source will be reviewed once daily at 8 PM ET. The final check will be on January 8, 2022, 8 PM ET, checking all days from the creation of this market to December 31, 2021. Only daily numbers will be considered. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022??
Yes leads at 100%, followed by No at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on the US have more than 100,00 2022?
Yes, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022? market resolve?
The market resolves on 8 January 2022. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on the US have more than 100,00 2022?
$297K has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on the US have more than 100,00 2022?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Prediction markets tend to be sharper than polls when volume is healthy, because traders lose money for being wrong. Thin markets with little trading are less reliable — treat those prices as a signal, not a certainty.