Will a hurricane make landfall in the US lower 48 states before September 1?
This market shall resolve to "Yes" if a hurricane makes landfall in the conterminous United States by August 31, 2021, 11:59:59 PM ET, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories. If no tropical systems between the launch of this market, August 12, 2021, 2:00 PM ET, and August 31, 2021 are hurricane status at the moment of landfall in the conterminous United States, this market shall resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market, a hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).