US tariff revenue up in Q3 2025?
This market will resolve if the value of the "[US] Federal government current tax receipts: Taxes on production and imports: Customs duties" for Q3 2025 is higher than Q2 2025, as defined and reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis via the following source: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/B235RC1Q027SBEA Only initial releases of each quarterly value will be used for resolution. Revisions made after the initial Q3 2025 release will not be counted. If all relevant data is not published by December 31, 2025 ET, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution is based exclusively on the data shown in the chart linked above.