Will the Supreme Court overturn gay marriage in 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. Supreme Court issues a majority opinion that (1) expressly overrules Obergefell v. Hodges (2015) or (2) holds the Constitution does not guarantee a right to same-sex marriage by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” Narrowings or limitations short of (1) or (2) do not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.