Market Context by Polymarket
The Will NATO expand in 2022? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Yes currently leads at 100%, ahead of No at 0%. The market resolves on 1 January 2023.
Cumulative volume on this market is $388K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This is a market on whether the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) will have more than 30 full member states for any length of time before January 1, 2023, 12:00:00 AM ET. If NATO announces it has more than 30 member states at any point before January 1, 2023, this market will resolve as “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Will NATO expand in 2022??
Yes leads at 100%, followed by No at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on NATO expand in 2022??
Yes, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Will NATO expand in 2022? market resolve?
The market resolves on 1 January 2023. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on NATO expand in 2022??
$388K has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on NATO expand in 2022??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Prediction markets tend to be sharper than polls when volume is healthy, because traders lose money for being wrong. Thin markets with little trading are less reliable — treat those prices as a signal, not a certainty.