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Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on May 5?

This is a market on whether Joe Biden's disapproval rating will be 40% or higher on May 5, 2021. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, indicated by the orange trend line and number here, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the disapproval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If for any reason the resolution source is unavailable on the resolution date, resolution will be delayed up to 48 hours. If still unavailable following that delay, this market will resolve to 50/50. If Joe Biden is not President on the resolution date, this market will resolve according to the most recent available disapproval rating. The resolution date for this market will be on May 6, 2021 at 12:00 PM ET according to data published for the day of May 5, 2021. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

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