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Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 52.5% or higher on August 1?

This is a market on whether Joe Biden's approval rating will be 52.5% or higher for the day of August 1, 2021. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the date of August 1, 2021, when it becomes available. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution date for this market will be on August 2, 2021 at 12:00 PM ET according to data published for the day of August 1, 2021. If for any reason the resolution source is unavailable, the resolution source will be checked every 24 hours until the actual data is available. If the actual data is not available on the resolution source by August 9, 2021, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50/50. If Joe Biden is not President on the resolution date, this market will resolve according to the most recent available approval rating. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

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