Market Context by Polymarket

The What will Coinbase’s market cap be 1 week after it starts publicly trading? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Long currently leads at 100%, ahead of Short at 0%. The market resolves on 1 September 2021.

Cumulative volume on this market is $490K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.

How this market resolves?

This is a scalar market on what Coinbase’s market capitalization will be at market close, 1 week after the day it starts publicly trading (denominated in $USD and according to Google Finance). The lower bound for this market is $15 billion, and the upper bound is $75 billion. You can use the calculator to the right (underneath the Buy modal) to calculate how each Long or Short Token price corresponds with Coinbase’s market cap. Long and Short shares will settle proportionally to the outcome value if the final value is between these bounds, but if the final value exceeds either the upper or lower bound, the price of each Outcome Token is capped at $1 and $0. In the event Coinbase doesn't start trading before Sept 1st 2021, this market will resolve at .50/.50. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC). For clarification on the date this market will end, if Coinbase begins trading on a Tuesday morning, the market will resolve according to market cap upon market close on Tuesday of the following week.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds for What will Coinbase’s market cap be 1 week after it starts publicly trading??

Long leads at 100%, followed by Short at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.

Who is the favourite on What will Coinbase’s market cap be 1 week?

Long, at 100% implied probability.

How does the What will Coinbase’s market cap be 1 week after it starts publicly trading? market resolve?

The market resolves on 1 September 2021. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.

How much money is on What will Coinbase’s market cap be 1 week?

$490K has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.

Can I see who is betting on What will Coinbase’s market cap be 1 week?

Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.

How accurate are Polymarket odds?

Prediction markets tend to be sharper than polls when volume is healthy, because traders lose money for being wrong. Thin markets with little trading are less reliable — treat those prices as a signal, not a certainty.