Market Context by Polymarket
The Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Yes currently leads at 100%, ahead of No at 0%. The market resolves on 1 July 2022.
Cumulative volume on this market is $360K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
Chapter 3, Article 65 of the Constitution of the Russian Federation lists all "subjects" of the Russian Federation. As of the writing of this market, there are 85 federal subjects of the Russian Federation. If at any time between March 2, 2022, and July 1, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET (inclusive), the Constitution of the Russian Federation lists 86 or more "subjects of the Russian Federation", this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from the Russian government and the Constitution of the Russian Federation: http://www.constitution.ru/en/10003000-04.htm; however, other credible sources may be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022??
Yes leads at 100%, followed by No at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on Russia expand its number of 2022?
Yes, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022? market resolve?
The market resolves on 1 July 2022. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Russia expand its number of 2022?
$360K has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Russia expand its number of 2022?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Prediction markets tend to be sharper than polls when volume is healthy, because traders lose money for being wrong. Thin markets with little trading are less reliable — treat those prices as a signal, not a certainty.