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Will Poland or the United Kingdom report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on Christmas Eve?

This is a market on whether Poland or the United Kingdom will report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on December 24, 2021. This market will resolve on data aggregated by Our World in Data, specifically, the 7-day rolling average of COVID-19 cases for Poland and the United Kingdom, with Metric "Confirmed Cases", Interval "7-day rolling average", and the Relative to Population checkbox checked, which is available at https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer. The resolution source will be reviewed on December 25th at 11 PM ET and - if the data for December 24 will not be available then - checked again every 12 hours, until the final check on December 30, 11 PM ET. If the data is not available by then, this market will resolve based on other credible sources for the day of December 24. If Poland has a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita for the day of December 24, 2021, the market will resolve to "Poland." If the United Kingdom has a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita for the day of December 24, 2021, the market will resolve to "United Kingdom." If the averages per capita are the same, the market will resolve 50/50. -------------------- OWiD dataset uses the most recent official numbers from governments and health ministries worldwide. Population estimates for per-capita metrics are based on the United Nations World Population Prospects. Here: https://github.com/owid/covid-19-data/tree/master/public/data one can find a detailed list of all our country-specific sources.

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