Market Context by Polymarket
The 2022 U.S. Senate elections: Will a Democrat or Republican win this state? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. New Hampshire - Maggie Hassan vs. Don Bolduc currently leads at 100%, ahead of Vermont - Peter Welch vs. Gerald Malloy at 100% and Arizona - Mark Kelly vs. Blake Masters at 100%, across 14 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 8 November 2022.
Cumulative volume on this market is $1.2M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This is a group market on which parties will win different states in the 2022 U.S. Senate elections, scheduled for November 8 2022.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for 2022 U.S. Senate elections: Will a Democrat or Republican win this state??
New Hampshire - Maggie Hassan vs. Don Bolduc leads at 100%, followed by Vermont - Peter Welch vs. Gerald Malloy at 100% and Arizona - Mark Kelly vs. Blake Masters at 100%. Odds reflect live trading across 14 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on U.S. Senate elections: Will 2022?
New Hampshire - Maggie Hassan vs. Don Bolduc, at 100% implied probability.
How does the 2022 U.S. Senate elections: Will a Democrat or Republican win this state? market resolve?
The market resolves on 8 November 2022. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on U.S. Senate elections: Will 2022?
$1.2M has traded cumulatively on this market across 14 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on U.S. Senate elections: Will 2022?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Prediction markets tend to be sharper than polls when volume is healthy, because traders lose money for being wrong. Thin markets with little trading are less reliable — treat those prices as a signal, not a certainty.