Market Context by Polymarket

The Will Donald Trump formally concede the 2020 US Election before December 1st, 2020? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Yes currently leads at 100%, ahead of No at 0%. The market resolves on 17 January 2022.

Cumulative volume on this market is $454K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.

How this market resolves?

This is a market on if Donald Trump will formally concede the 2020 US Election before December 1st, 2020, 12:00am EST. Conceding can be defined as publicly admitting to losing the election and thus not being president come next term. As per Wikipedia: "In politics, a concession is the act of a losing candidate publicly yielding to a winning candidate after an election after the overall result of the vote has become clear." If Trump tweets or publicly states that he lost or concedes the US Presidential Election, and will not be President come next term, this market will resolve to "Yes". If he says something to the effect of Joe Biden winning "but...", but in the context of him still contesting results, saying he should have won and he is taking action to try and still win, this market will resolve to "No". We are aware this market may be ambiguous, however it will be resolved in good faith as accurately as possible, by the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC). Also this Facebook Forecast question, https://www.forecastapp.net/q/TWFya2V0Ollwd0JkSUlOdzRB/, will be referenced as a leading resolution source, along with the Associated Press.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds for Will Donald Trump formally concede the 2020 US Election before December 1st, 2020??

Yes leads at 100%, followed by No at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.

Who is the favourite on Donald Trump formally conced 2020?

Yes, at 100% implied probability.

How does the Will Donald Trump formally concede the 2020 US Election before December 1st, 2020? market resolve?

The market resolves on 17 January 2022. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.

How much money is on Donald Trump formally conced 2020?

$454K has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.

Can I see who is betting on Donald Trump formally conced 2020?

Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.

How accurate are Polymarket odds?

Prediction markets tend to be sharper than polls when volume is healthy, because traders lose money for being wrong. Thin markets with little trading are less reliable — treat those prices as a signal, not a certainty.