What will the margin be in the winning round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?

This is a market on what the margin will be in the winning round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary. The margin is defined as the difference between the percentage of votes for the first-place candidate and the percentage of votes for the second-place candidate in the winning round of the 2021 NYC Democratic Mayoral Primary, as shown in the certified election results. The winning round is defined as the first round in which any candidate first receives more than 50% of all active ballots. Percentages of the vote are calculated by dividing the number of votes won by each candidate over the total number of votes for all ballot-listed or write-in candidates in the winning round. Ballots that are listed as exhausted, spoiled, or otherwise inactive in the winning round will not be included. The brackets are “Under 1%”, “1% to 2%”, and “Over 2%”. The market will resolve to “Under 1%” if the margin is less than 1%, or “1% to 2%” if the margin is between 1% and 2% inclusive, or “Over 2%” if the margin is more than 2%. Note that if the margin is exactly 1% or exactly 2%, the market will resolve to “1% to 2%”. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).