Will the US House Speaker be elected on the first ballot?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first Speaker of the House for the 118th United States Congress is elected on the first ballot. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is information from official US Government sources, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 118th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.