Market Context by Polymarket
The Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Yes currently leads at 100%, ahead of No at 0%. The market resolves on 23 June 2023.
Cumulative volume on this market is $2.3M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
*UPDATE: This market was sent to a dispute resolution on UMA. No need to worry, it will be resolved on Sunday. Thank you for your patience and join our Discord: discord.gg/polymarket if you have any questions.* This market will resolve to “Yes” if the OceanGate vessel in St John's, Newfoundland which had been exploring the wreckage of the RMS Titanic is found by Friday, June 23, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, the vessel need not have been rescued or physically recovered to be considered “found.” If pieces are located, but not the cabin which contains the vessel’s passengers, that will not suffice for this market to resolve to “Yes.” The resolution source for this market will be either an official statement from OceanGate, the US Coastguard, or another credible government agency. If no such statement is issued, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Will the missing submarine be found by June 23??
Yes leads at 100%, followed by No at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on the missing submarine be found by June 23??
Yes, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? market resolve?
The market resolves on 23 June 2023. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on the missing submarine be found by June 23??
$2.3M has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on the missing submarine be found by June 23??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Prediction markets tend to be sharper than polls when volume is healthy, because traders lose money for being wrong. Thin markets with little trading are less reliable — treat those prices as a signal, not a certainty.