Market Context by Polymarket
The Trump and Biden both win nomination? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. No currently leads at 100%, ahead of Yes at 1%. The market resolves on 5 November 2024.
Cumulative volume on this market is $4.2M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joseph Biden wins the Democratic nomination for president of the United States and Donald Trump wins the Republican nomination for president of the United States in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", both named candidates must win the described nominations. If one wins and the other does not, it will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Democratic and Republican national conventions, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Trump and Biden both win nomination??
No leads at 100%, followed by Yes at 1%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on Trump and Biden both win nomination??
No, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Trump and Biden both win nomination? market resolve?
The market resolves on 5 November 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Trump and Biden both win nomination??
$4.2M has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Trump and Biden both win nomination??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.