Will Israel invade Lebanon by January 20?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon by January 20, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by Lebanon, Israel, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.