Market Context by Polymarket
The Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Yes currently leads at 100%, ahead of No at 0%. The market resolves on 29 February 2024.
Cumulative volume on this market is $429K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
If Sweden has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Will Sweden join NATO by February 29??
Yes leads at 100%, followed by No at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on Sweden join NATO by February 29??
Yes, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? market resolve?
The market resolves on 29 February 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Sweden join NATO by February 29??
$429K has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Sweden join NATO by February 29??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.