Market Context by Polymarket
The Trump and Biden debate before Election? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Yes currently leads at 100%, ahead of No at 0%. The market resolves on 4 November 2024.
Cumulative volume on this market is $586K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump and Joe Biden engage in a live, publicly-broadcast debate for 2024 US presidential election candidates by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Both in-person debates and virtual debates will count toward a "Yes" resolution for this market. The resolution source for this market will be footage of such a debate, however a consensus of credible sources will also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Trump and Biden debate before Election??
Yes leads at 100%, followed by No at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on Trump and Biden debate before Election??
Yes, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Trump and Biden debate before Election? market resolve?
The market resolves on 4 November 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Trump and Biden debate before Election??
$586K has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Trump and Biden debate before Election??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.