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Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary?

Nevada is holding both a Republican Primary and Republican caucus in 2024, and the state party determined only the caucus will decide the delegate allocation. Haley is the only major candidate on the Primary ballot, and Trump is the only major candidate on the Caucus ballot. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nikki Haley wins over 50% of the votes cast in the Nevada Republican Primary, currently scheduled for February 6th, 2024. "Votes cast" includes votes for any candidate as well as votes for "None of these candidates". If no such primary takes place in Nevada in 2024, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Nevada Secretary of State; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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