Market Context by Polymarket
The How many Fed rate cuts this year? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. 4 (100 bps) currently leads at 100%, ahead of 0 at 0% and 1 (25 bps) at 0%, across 7 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 31 December 2024.
Cumulative volume on this market is $49M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This is a market on the expected number of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts occurring within the current calendar year.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for How many Fed rate cuts this year??
4 (100 bps) leads at 100%, followed by 0 at 0% and 1 (25 bps) at 0%. Odds reflect live trading across 7 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on How many Fed rate cuts this year??
4 (100 bps), at 100% implied probability.
How does the How many Fed rate cuts this year? market resolve?
The market resolves on 31 December 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on How many Fed rate cuts this year??
$49M has traded cumulatively on this market across 7 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on How many Fed rate cuts this year??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on economics?
Fed and macro markets tend to move in step with rate futures and repricing after data releases. They are usually well-calibrated close to a decision date and noisier further out.