Market Context by Polymarket
The When will Satoshi's identity be proven? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Q1 currently leads at 100%, ahead of Q2 at 100% and Not proven in 2024 at 100%, across 5 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 31 December 2024.
Cumulative volume on this market is $687K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This is a market on the date when Satoshi Nakamoto's true identity will be definitively proven.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for When will Satoshi's identity be proven??
Q1 leads at 100%, followed by Q2 at 100% and Not proven in 2024 at 100%. Odds reflect live trading across 5 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on When will Satoshi's identity be proven??
Q1, at 100% implied probability.
How does the When will Satoshi's identity be proven? market resolve?
The market resolves on 31 December 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on When will Satoshi's identity be proven??
$687K has traded cumulatively on this market across 5 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on When will Satoshi's identity be proven??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on crypto?
Crypto markets price rapidly and reflect sentiment shifts within minutes, but they are volatile and prone to sharp reversals on thin liquidity. Volume matters more than price level when judging conviction.