Market Context by Polymarket
The Trump's worst state on Super Tuesday? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Alabama currently leads at 100%, ahead of Alaska at 100% and Arkansas at 100%, across 15 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 5 March 2024.
Cumulative volume on this market is $560K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Trump's worst state on Super Tuesday??
Alabama leads at 100%, followed by Alaska at 100% and Arkansas at 100%. Odds reflect live trading across 15 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on Trump's worst state on Super Tuesday??
Alabama, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Trump's worst state on Super Tuesday? market resolve?
The market resolves on 5 March 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Trump's worst state on Super Tuesday??
$560K has traded cumulatively on this market across 15 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Trump's worst state on Super Tuesday??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.