Market Context by Polymarket
The Who will win Arizona? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Donald Trump currently leads at 100%, ahead of Kamala Harris at 0% and Other at 0%, across 3 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 4 November 2024.
Cumulative volume on this market is $14M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This is a market on who will win the presidential election in Arizona.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Who will win Arizona??
Donald Trump leads at 100%, followed by Kamala Harris at 0% and Other at 0%. Odds reflect live trading across 3 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on win Arizona??
Donald Trump, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Who will win Arizona? market resolve?
The market resolves on 4 November 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on win Arizona??
$14M has traded cumulatively on this market across 3 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on win Arizona??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.