Market Context by Polymarket
The Arkansas Presidential Election Winner market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Donald Trump currently leads at 100%, ahead of Other at 1% and Kamala Harris at 0%, across 3 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 5 November 2024.
Cumulative volume on this market is $2M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This is a market on predicting the winner of the presidential election in Arkansas.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Arkansas Presidential Election Winner?
Donald Trump leads at 100%, followed by Other at 1% and Kamala Harris at 0%. Odds reflect live trading across 3 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on Arkansas Election?
Donald Trump, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Arkansas Presidential Election Winner market resolve?
The market resolves on 5 November 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Arkansas Election?
$2M has traded cumulatively on this market across 3 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Arkansas Election?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.