AI Prediction Markets on Polymarket
AI prediction markets on Polymarket cover model releases, benchmark results, capability milestones and company announcements, with live odds, volume and trader data on every market. This is one of the fastest moving categories on the platform, and prices reprice hard on rumour well ahead of confirmation. See top markets by open-interest below.
AI prediction odds, volume, and forecasts
Polymarket’s AI category currently has 298 live AI markets about $61.1M in listed lifetime volume among the ranked events. Open interest on tracked AI events is $7.3M. The most active listed event by lifetime volume is Which companies will be acquired before 2027?. Sorting by open interest versus volume will not rank the same events — one view is capital committed, the other is trading activity. Live odds here are implied probabilities from the leading outcome on each event, not a poll average.
Top AI prediction market traders
| Trader | AI P&L | Win rate | Markets traded | Open value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes | $709.4K | 51.8% | 4266 | $129.2K |
| influenz.eth | $590.2K | 39.2% | 2462 | $3.0M |
| wokerjoesleeper | $429.9K | 46.8% | 2092 | $321 |
| anoin123 | $291.4K | 67.4% | 169 | $895.3K |
| balthazar | $214.2K | 46.2% | 5698 | $276.9K |
| ro0k | $187.4K | 100.0% | 5 | $0 |
| cry.eth2 | $170.0K | 31.3% | 2339 | $87.6K |
| Cookedtan | $168.7K | 23.8% | 546 | $20 |
| e46m3 | $133.5K | 51.2% | 6145 | $476.4K |
| flow-trader-at-optiver | $125.2K | 31.8% | 852 | $73 |
Browse by topic
How AI prediction markets work
AI markets on Polymarket are contracts that pay out on a stated ai question. The listed odds are implied probabilities: a 0.64 price is a 64% live implied chance. Volume and open interest show how much trading and committed capital sit behind each price. Use this page to see what is trading, then open an event for the full rules.
FAQ
How many live AI markets are on Polymarket?
There are 298 live AI markets live on Polymarket as of today.
Which AI market has the most volume right now?
Among the ranked live events on this page, Which companies will be acquired before 2027? has the highest lifetime volume ($18.4M).
How accurate are AI odds compared with polls and forecasts?
AI odds on Polymarket are live betting odds: they are the implied probability of the contract as traded, not a poll or a model forecast. They can track polling when the book is deep, and they can diverge when liquidity is thin, when the resolution source differs from the poll, or when traders are pricing a different question. Treat them as a market price, then read the event rules.
Who are the top AI prediction market traders?
The “Top AI prediction market traders” table on this page ranks wallets by realized P&L in AI, with win rate, markets traded, and open value. Each row links to that trader’s Polymarket Analytics page. Positions overlap categories, so this is AI-scoped P&L, not the trader’s entire book.
Where can I find Polymarket AI predictions data and analytics?
Right here. The AI markets with the most capital committed are listed above, ranked by open interest, each with current odds, and volume.
Is there historical data for Polymarket AI prediction markets?
Yes. Every AI market has a full price history, live and resolved, so you can chart how the odds moved and compare them against what actually happened.