Culture Prediction Markets on Polymarket
Culture prediction markets on Polymarket cover awards, entertainment outcomes, box office results and the questions driving the news cycle, with live odds, volume and trader data on every market. Awards markets in particular are shaped by a small number of well informed traders and by industry signals. Volume is modest, so prices can travel a long way on relatively small trades. Read them alongside holder counts rather than price alone. See top markets by open-interest below.
Culture prediction odds, volume, and forecasts
Polymarket’s Culture category currently has 353 live Culture markets about $229.1M in listed lifetime volume among the ranked events. Open interest on tracked Culture events is $10.8M. The most active listed event by lifetime volume is Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?. Sorting by open interest versus volume will not rank the same events — one view is capital committed, the other is trading activity. Live odds here are implied probabilities from the leading outcome on each event, not a poll average.
Top Culture prediction market traders
| Trader | Culture P&L | Win rate | Markets traded | Open value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AmerikanXpress | $3.8M | 50.0% | 27 | $0 |
| influenz.eth | $1.7M | 29.4% | 29572 | $2.1M |
| wokerjoesleeper | $1.6M | 43.9% | 27904 | $4.7K |
| LlamaEnjoyer | $1.6M | 70.7% | 389 | $9.6K |
| 0xafEe | $1.3M | 100.0% | 60 | $0 |
| Siziriv | $1.0M | 33.1% | 3088 | $37.7K |
| cigarettes | $970.1K | 45.4% | 28984 | $343.7K |
| cry.eth2 | $948.8K | 31.7% | 24446 | $192.3K |
| Novus0rdoSeclorum | $831.8K | 42.6% | 11330 | $724.5K |
| alohaa | $723.2K | 15.2% | 1548 | $22.0K |
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How Culture prediction markets work
Culture markets on Polymarket are contracts that pay out on a stated culture question. The listed odds are implied probabilities: a 0.64 price is a 64% live implied chance. Volume and open interest show how much trading and committed capital sit behind each price. Use this page to see what is trading, then open an event for the full rules.
FAQ
How many live Culture markets are on Polymarket?
There are 353 live Culture markets live on Polymarket as of today.
Which Culture market has the most volume right now?
Among the ranked live events on this page, Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? has the highest lifetime volume ($72.4M).
How accurate are Culture odds compared with polls and forecasts?
Culture odds on Polymarket are live betting odds: they are the implied probability of the contract as traded, not a poll or a model forecast. They can track polling when the book is deep, and they can diverge when liquidity is thin, when the resolution source differs from the poll, or when traders are pricing a different question. Treat them as a market price, then read the event rules.
Who are the top Culture prediction market traders?
The “Top Culture prediction market traders” table on this page ranks wallets by realized P&L in Culture, with win rate, markets traded, and open value. Each row links to that trader’s Polymarket Analytics page. Positions overlap categories, so this is Culture-scoped P&L, not the trader’s entire book.
Where can I find Polymarket Culture predictions data and analytics?
Right here. The Culture markets with the most capital committed are listed above, ranked by open interest, each with current odds, and volume.
Is there historical data for Polymarket Culture prediction markets?
Yes. Every Culture market has a full price history, live and resolved, so you can chart how the odds moved and compare them against what actually happened.