Economy Prediction Markets on Polymarket
Economy prediction markets on Polymarket cover inflation, job numbers, GDP releases, recession calls and central bank decisions, with live odds, volume and trader data on every market. Most resolve on a scheduled government data release, so they behave more like rate futures than like opinion, and pricing tightens sharply as the date approaches. You can see the volume and open interest behind each price below. See top markets by open-interest below.
Economy prediction odds, volume, and forecasts
Polymarket’s Economy category currently has 108 live Economy markets about $120.3M in listed lifetime volume among the ranked events. Open interest on tracked Economy events is $6.8M. The most active listed event by lifetime volume is How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?. Sorting by open interest versus volume will not rank the same events — one view is capital committed, the other is trading activity. Live odds here are implied probabilities from the leading outcome on each event, not a poll average.
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How Economy prediction markets work
Economy markets on Polymarket are contracts that pay out on a stated economy question. The listed odds are implied probabilities: a 0.64 price is a 64% live implied chance. Volume and open interest show how much trading and committed capital sit behind each price. Use this page to see what is trading, then open an event for the full rules.
FAQ
How many live Economy markets are on Polymarket?
There are 108 live Economy markets live on Polymarket as of today.
Which Economy market has the most volume right now?
Among the ranked live events on this page, How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? has the highest lifetime volume ($54.5M).
How accurate are Economy odds compared with polls and forecasts?
Economy odds on Polymarket are live betting odds: they are the implied probability of the contract as traded, not a poll or a model forecast. They can track polling when the book is deep, and they can diverge when liquidity is thin, when the resolution source differs from the poll, or when traders are pricing a different question. Treat them as a market price, then read the event rules.
Where can I find Polymarket Economy predictions data and analytics?
Right here. The Economy markets with the most capital committed are listed above, ranked by open interest, each with current odds, and volume.
Is there historical data for Polymarket Economy prediction markets?
Yes. Every Economy market has a full price history, live and resolved, so you can chart how the odds moved and compare them against what actually happened.