Sports Prediction Markets on Polymarket
Sports prediction markets on Polymarket cover match results, tournament winners, season awards and player milestones, with live odds, volume and trader data on every market. These are among the most efficient markets on the platform. Outcomes come quickly, resolution is unambiguous, and mispricing gets corrected fast. Expect odds to track sportsbook lines closely, with gaps opening around injury and lineup news.
Sports prediction odds, volume, and forecasts
Polymarket’s Sports category currently has 12,562 live Sports markets about $552.2M in listed lifetime volume among the ranked events. Open interest on tracked Sports events is $9.6M. The most active listed event by lifetime volume is F1 Drivers' Champion. Sorting by open interest versus volume will not rank the same events — one view is capital committed, the other is trading activity. Live odds here are implied probabilities from the leading outcome on each event, not a poll average.
Top Sports prediction market traders
| Trader | Sports P&L | Win rate | Markets traded | Open value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DrPufferfish | $46.5M | 90.4% | 2377 | $991.2K |
| ferrariChampions2026 | $39.2M | 63.7% | 78189 | $83.5M |
| BreakTheBank | $35.0M | 84.7% | 849 | $3.5M |
| 432614799197 | $31.3M | 67.2% | 7558 | $0 |
| 10xBTClong | $28.8M | 97.3% | 547 | $0 |
| SeriouslySirius | $28.2M | 72.9% | 10267 | $0 |
| Dillius | $28.1M | 97.1% | 490 | $0 |
| Countryside | $26.0M | 91.7% | 1813 | $28.1M |
| YT-JuicySlots | $24.3M | 94.3% | 2214 | $429 |
| comon119 | $24.1M | 98.2% | 7048 | $1.4M |
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How Sports prediction markets work
Sports markets on Polymarket are contracts that pay out on a stated sports question. The listed odds are implied probabilities: a 0.64 price is a 64% live implied chance. Volume and open interest show how much trading and committed capital sit behind each price. Use this page to see what is trading, then open an event for the full rules.
FAQ
How many live Sports markets are on Polymarket?
There are 12,562 live Sports markets live on Polymarket as of today.
Which Sports market has the most volume right now?
Among the ranked live events on this page, F1 Drivers' Champion has the highest lifetime volume ($203.0M).
How accurate are Sports odds compared with polls and forecasts?
Sports odds on Polymarket are live betting odds: they are the implied probability of the contract as traded, not a poll or a model forecast. They can track polling when the book is deep, and they can diverge when liquidity is thin, when the resolution source differs from the poll, or when traders are pricing a different question. Treat them as a market price, then read the event rules.
Who are the top Sports prediction market traders?
The “Top Sports prediction market traders” table on this page ranks wallets by realized P&L in Sports, with win rate, markets traded, and open value. Each row links to that trader’s Polymarket Analytics page. Positions overlap categories, so this is Sports-scoped P&L, not the trader’s entire book.
Where can I find Polymarket Sports predictions data and analytics?
Right here. The Sports markets with the most capital committed are listed above, ranked by open interest, each with current odds, and volume.
Is there historical data for Polymarket Sports prediction markets?
Yes. Every Sports market has a full price history, live and resolved, so you can chart how the odds moved and compare them against what actually happened.